May feels like the real start of the year for NYC retail. April was busy. May is busier. The difference is that landlords who were testing the market in April are now being asked to make decisions. Some are. Some are not.

Here is what I am seeing on the ground. Block level, not boardroom level.

Manhattan: the SoHo softness story

Spring Street picked up two new vacancies in the last three weeks. Both between Sullivan and Thompson. Both north side. Both formerly fashion. The asking rents are above $200 per square foot. The taking rents on that block, based on what closed in Q1, are closer to $160.

Prince Street is still Prince Street. Nothing meaningful is sitting. The block by block read I did in April still holds. Prime is prime. The drop-off east of Lafayette is real.

Tribeca has a different problem. The Greenwich Street stretch south of Chambers has spaces sitting at asking rents that feel two years stale. Some of them are well-located. The price is the problem. Not the demand.

Brooklyn: Bedford keeps tightening

Bedford Avenue between North 7th and North 11th has one available ground floor space as of last week. One. There is real depth of demand for that corridor right now. I had three F&B operators ask me about Bedford in the last 10 days alone. None of them are going to find what they want.

Wythe Avenue one block west is starting to absorb the spillover. Rents on Wythe are running $80 to $110 per square foot for ground floor. That used to be a $50 to $70 number two years ago. The corridor is repricing.

Park Slope's 5th Avenue is steady. Not booming. Not slowing. Family operators are still the largest share of demand there. Rents in the $60 to $80 range still close.

What the data is telling me about summer

Three things to watch into July. First, F&B absorption keeps eating share. It is now well over half of new retail leasing in Manhattan. Second, fashion is not coming back the way some 2024 forecasts suggested. The brands that wanted prime SoHo already took their space. The next tier is being more careful. Third, the gap between asking and taking rents is widening in secondary corridors. Landlords who hold the asking rent line are not getting deals.

What I would tell a tenant searching this month

If you are looking for prime SoHo, prime Bedford, or Madison in the 70s, you are competing. Move fast. Bring a clean proposal. Be ready to sign within 30 days of agreed terms.

If you are looking for value, the opportunities are on Broome Street, on the western end of Spring Street, on Wythe, and on the cross streets of the UES. There is real deal room there.

If you are looking for a restaurant space, your search is constrained more by infrastructure than by rent. The list of available spaces with usable gas lines and ventilation is short. Search that list. Not the broader inventory.

Most of these calls come down to the same lease terms tenants get tripped up on every time. Worth a read before you sign anything.