F&B has been the largest share of NYC retail absorption for two years running. The pattern is no longer surprising. The question is whether it is structural or cyclical. After two years of watching the data and signing the leases, my read is that most of it is structural.

Here is why F&B keeps eating Manhattan retail.

The basic numbers

In 2024 and 2025, F&B accounted for somewhere between 45 and 60 percent of new retail leases in Manhattan, depending on the data source and the submarket. The next largest categories are wellness and fitness (around 15 percent), beauty (around 10 percent), and fashion (declining, somewhere around 10 to 15 percent).

F&B is the only category that has grown share consistently since 2022. Every other category is flat or down.

The structural reasons

Three things drive the structural part of F&B dominance.

First, F&B cannot be replaced by online retail. You cannot ship a meal experience over the internet. Delivery exists, but in-restaurant dining is a distinct product. The physical space is essential to the offering.

Second, NYC demographics support F&B demand. High residential density. High disposable income. High proportion of people who eat out frequently. Tourism on top of all of that. The underlying customer base for F&B in Manhattan is strong.

Third, F&B operators have access to capital that fashion operators no longer do. Private equity has poured money into restaurant groups. The capital fuels expansion. Expansion means new leases.

The cyclical reasons

Two cyclical factors are also pushing F&B share higher right now.

First, the post-pandemic recovery in restaurant demand is still playing out. People are eating out more than they did in 2020 to 2022. Some of that is permanent. Some is cyclical and will reverse if the economy slows.

Second, fashion retail consolidation has freed up real estate for F&B operators. When a clothing brand closes a Manhattan flagship, the space often gets reabsorbed by an F&B operator who can use the footprint with modest reconfiguration.

The supply constraint

F&B has a physical infrastructure requirement that limits where they can go. Gas service. Ventilation. Grease trap capacity. Loading. Bathroom configuration. Many available retail spaces cannot accommodate F&B without significant build-out.

This means the F&B share of available restaurant-ready space is higher than the F&B share of total available space. In some submarkets, restaurant-ready spaces lease within weeks while non-restaurant spaces sit for months.

The corridor effect

F&B share varies by submarket. On Bedford Avenue, F&B is probably 70 percent of recent absorption. In prime SoHo, fashion still holds a larger share because the rents only work for high-margin retail or very high-volume F&B.

Cross-corridor patterns matter. Hudson Square is F&B heavy because of the daytime office base. UES cross streets are F&B heavy because of residential density. Tribeca is mixed. Madison Avenue is fashion and luxury dominant. The submarket determines the mix.

What this means for tenants and landlords

If you are a non-F&B tenant in a submarket where F&B dominates, you have more deal room because you compete with fewer other operators for the space. You are also fighting against a landlord preference for F&B in some cases.

If you are a landlord with a restaurant-capable space, you have leverage. The pool of F&B operators looking for capable spaces is larger than the supply.

For context on where the F&B absorption is actually happening, see the most active submarkets piece.